Analysis by Chris Cillizza, CNN Editor-at-large
Updated 3:31 PM ET, Thu June 25, 2020
(CNN)A half dozen new swing-state polls released Thursday morning suggest that not only would President Donald Trump lose if the election were held today, he would lose in a landslide.
The surveys, conducted by The New York Times and Siena College, show Trump trailing former Vice President Joe Biden by double digits in Michigan (Biden +11), Wisconsin (Biden +11) and Pennsylvania (Biden+ 10) and by mid-single digits in North Carolina (Biden +9), Arizona (Biden +7) and Florida (Biden +6).
Trump won every one of those states in the 2016 election. Switch them from red to blue and you can quickly see just how bad hings look for Trump at the moment.
And, thanks to CNN’s handy dandy “Road to 270” interactive electoral maps, we can do just that!
Give Biden those six states — Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Arizona and Florida — and keep the rest of the 2020 map just as it was in 2016, and the Democratic nominee has 333 electoral votes to just 205 for Trump. That would be a larger Electoral College margin than President Barack Obama won with in his 2012 reelection.