PERSPECTIVE
It used to be commonly held wisdom that all roads to the White House go through Ohio. As Ohio goes, so goes the nation, they would say.
The political map has changed. Ohio leans republican and is no longer even considered a battleground state. Biden won 2020 without Ohio.
A different state has emerged as the must-win state for both camps: Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania holds the most electoral votes of any true battleground state at 19, surpassing Michigan (15), Arizona (11) and Wisconsin (10).
Trump notably broke the “Blue Wall” in 2016 with Pennsylvania. Outside of something absurd happening, like Texas voting democrat or New York voting republican, both camps need Pennsylvania’s 19 votes to win.
Trump is marginally expected to carry Georgia; he is ahead there, and Biden won the state by only 0.24% in 2020, the smallest margin of any state in 2020. If Trump does win Georgia, and he wins Pennsylvania, it is game over even if Harris wins every other battleground state on the map.
The Hill: Has Harris up 47.6% to Trump’s 46.8% in Pennsylvania
538: Has Harris up 45.9% to Trump’s 44.1% in Pennsylvania
Real Clear Polling: Has Trump ahead by 0.6%
The fact that The Hill, which leans right, has Harris ahead is unfortunate for Trump. However, it must be noted these margins are absolutely tiny. Biden won the state in 2020 with 1.17% margin (81k votes), Trump won by 0.72% (44k votes)
In conclusion, Ohio is no longer the key battleground it once was; that mantle now belongs to Pennsylvania. With its 19 electoral votes, Pennsylvania has become the must-win state for both parties. As the 2024 election approaches, early polls show a tight race, with Kamala Harris holding a slight edge. However, the margins are razor-thin, making Pennsylvania the decisive factor in what will likely be another nail-biting election.
GayJew
Article URL : https://breakingnewsandreligion.online/category/perspectives/