There may be a big shift underway. Over the last couple of days, there has been some real movement in some of the polls back to former President Donald Trump. The reality of Kamala Harris’s emptiness seems to be setting in, and it looks like her avoidance of questions may now be backfiring on her.
We saw the recent NYT/Siena College Poll and the Emerson College polls. Those were already showing some good numbers for Trump, with NYT showing him up by 5 points in Arizona, 4 points in Georgia, and 2 in North Carolina. Then Emerson has Trump up in Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, tied in Nevada, with Harris ahead in NC and MI. If that holds, Trump wins.
Now there’s the Quinnipiac poll, a poll that has a devastating result for Harris. It has Trump in the lead in the national vote.
It’s moved two points in Trump’s direction. In August, Harris was up 1 point. Now, Trump is up by 1, 48 to 47 among likely voters in the full-field race. If he’s up by one in the popular vote, that spells good news for the Electoral College. And that’s with a slightly greater percentage of Democrats than Republicans in the poll.
If you look at the cross tabs, it’s even worse for Harris. Among independents, Trump is up 47 to 44. Even the enthusiasm has dropped for Harris since August among Democrats, going down 5 points from 75 to 70 percent. The reality is starting to set in with her. Meanwhile, the enthusiasm for Trump has gone up 3 points since August. The respondents even said he cared more about the needs of people like them 49 to 48 percent over Harris.
Here’s her downfall. On the top issues, the economy and immigration, Trump tops Harris by 7 and 8 points, respectively, and most think Trump would do better handling a crisis, 51 to 47.