Allan Lichtman vs. Nate Silver: Who will accurately predict the 2024 election?

Lichtman, an American University professor who has correctly predicted nine out of 10 of the last presidential elections, has forecasted a win for Vice President Kamala Harris.

Silver, the statistician and pollster who founded FiveThirtyEight, wrote recently in the New York Times that the race is a virtual tie, but his “gut” tells him former President Donald Trump will likely prevail.

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Article URL : https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/11/03/allan-lichtman-nate-silver-election/75993624007/