What You Need to Know:
Houthi forces recently launched a significant attack on two U.S. Navy destroyers transiting the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, utilizing drones and missiles. U.S. defenses successfully intercepted the threats, but the incident highlights vulnerabilities in the Navy’s surface fleet.
-With Iran backing the Houthis, these attacks serve Tehran’s regional ambitions and escalate tensions linked to the Israeli conflict in Gaza.
-The Navy’s response has so far been limited, raising concerns about readiness against more sophisticated adversaries like China.
-The incoming Trump administration may adopt a more aggressive stance to neutralize the Houthi threat, akin to actions against ISIS in Trump’s first term.
The Houthis Try to Attack US Navy Destroyers
Two destroyers belonging to the United States Navy were attacked several days ago as they transited from the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on their way to the Red Sea.
According to exclusive reporting from Axios, “At least eight attack drones, five anti-ship ballistic missiles and four anti-ship cruise missiles were intercepted.” There were no injuries reported onboard the American warships.
More importantly, though, was the assessment of the Undersecretary of Defense for Acquisition and Sustainment Bill LaPlante who asserted that what the Houthis had been able to achieve with their missile and drone attacks over the last year was unprecedented.
ndeed, Harrison Kass confirmed my initial reportage from this last summer showing the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower had a serious scare while in combat against the Houthis. At the time of my reporting, it was entirely clear whether or not the aircraft carrier had been possibly hit by the Houthi anti-ship ballistic missiles or if those missiles had simply gotten precariously close to the ship—far closer than what most Navy strategists would have thought the terrorist group could get to a nuclear-powered aircraft carrier with all manner of defenses onboard. Most sources seemed to strongly indicate the carrier made it through its trial by fire just fine, however, some doubts were raised.
In fact, according to Kass, a Houthi anti-ship ballistic missile got within an astonishing 200 meters of the carrier.
Not long thereafter, the Americans understandably withdrew their obviously—painfully—vulnerable aircraft carriers to just over-the-horizon, lest those expensive and apparently exposed carriers be destroyed. Instead, the Americans have turned to their smaller surface warships, like the aforementioned destroyers. But the Axios report as well as previous reporting from earlier this year by Business Insider shows that even these systems are quite vulnerable to the Houthi attacks.
At the same time, the Biden administration has not fully allowed for the Navy to respond to the Houthis the way they ordinarily would want to. In fact, it is likely that if these attacks persist during the Trump administration the retaliation from the Navy will be unlike anything the Houthis have yet experienced. As a reminder of how things might play out, one would do well to compare the way that the outgoing Obama administration had handled the ISIS threat compared to how the first Trump administration term dealt with the infamous Islamist terrorist group.
Anyway, the Navy has thus far appeared to be mostly blinkered in the face of the Houthi threat. It is yet another sad example of the increasing obsolesce that the overall surface warship fleet, specifically aircraft carriers, are experiencing. In the age of anti-access/area-denial (A2/AD), especially considering that the Houthis aren’t even the most advanced A2/AD power in the world, it is unlikely to get any better generally.
As for dealing with the Houthis, when the new administration takes over, it is unlikely they will allow for the terror to persist. It is likely that in the first six months of the next administration the Houthis will be broken in much the same way ISIS was in Trump’s first term.