Former President Donald Trump continues to dominate the Republican primary and is drawing support from key Democratic coalition partners, especially black, Hispanic, and young voters who are abandoning President Joe Biden.
In a trend last seen when former President Ronald Reagan pulled disgruntled blue-collar workers from the Democratic base in 1980 and 1984, some voters who backed Biden in 2020 are shifting to Trump due to concerns the economy will worsen if a change in Washington isn’t made soon.
“He is destroying the Obama coalition,” said Trump pollster John McLaughlin, who shared crosstabs from his latest 1,700-page survey results with Secrets.
“Five percent of the poll who was a Biden 2020 voter is now voting for Trump in 2024. It is roughly a third Hispanics, a third black, and they are younger,” he said.
“There is roughly another 5% that voted for Biden in 2020 that is undecided,” he added.
“They are all working class and Democrats. It’s a Trump Democrat, they are Trump, working-class Democrats,” he explained. “For us older guys, it’s like deja vu from when Reagan had Reagan Democrats.”
The latest McLaughlin and Associates survey echoed several showing Trump maintaining his lead over Biden, 47%-44%.
McLaughlin suggested that unlike in the 1980s, the “Trump Democrats” do not appear likely to return to the Democratic Party because they are younger and less attached to the party.
“They’re more impacted by inflation. They’re more likely to say that they’re worse off than they were four years ago. And it’s caused an electoral shift where, you know, the Democratic Party is no longer the party of the working class. They are the party of wine and cheese that says they haven’t been impacted by inflation. They’ve got dirty with government jobs and contracts, and they’re feeding off the rest of us. And the rest of us have had it,” McLaughlin said.
A shift by black people away from Biden could be costly because Democrats have long relied on the black vote. Several polls have shown that younger black people are giving up on the liberals, feeling that the party takes advantage of them.
Obey