The GOP own internal polling from the Senate Leadership Fund shows Kamala Harris leading Trump in Michigan and Pennsylvania.
The GOP own internal polling from the Senate Leadership Fund shows Kamala Harris leading Trump in Michigan and Pennsylvania.
A summary of the Senate and presidential polling numbers from a memo:
Texas: Cruz +1 (48-47), Trump +5 (50-45)
Wisconsin: Baldwin +1 (46-45), Trump +1 (46-45)
Pennsylvania: Casey +2 (48-46), Harris +1 (49-48)
Montana: Sheehy +4 (48-44), Trump +17 (57-40)
Arizona: Gallego +5 (47-42), TIE pres (47-47)
Ohio: Brown +6 (45-39), Trump +4 (47-43)
Nevada: Rosen +7 (43-36), TIE pres (46/46)
Maryland: Alsobrooks +7 (48-41), Harris +29 (61-32)
Michigan: Slotkin +8 (46-38), Harris +3 (45-42)
Internal Republican polling polling numbers are based on a rosy turnout scenario for the GOP, so the takeaway from these numbers is that even with a good Republican turnout model, Trump is still trailing in two of the three blue wall states.
If Trump loses, Michigan and Pennsylvania, he loss the election.